So here we are, fewer than 24 hours away from the kickoff of both NFL conference championship games. And here are some final thoughts on the NFC and AFC matchups before we actually find out who will be playing in Super Bowl 43:
1. The Ravens‘ defense will really miss Terrell Suggs and Samari Rolle. Suggs is Baltimore’s best edge pass rusher, and Rolle’s absence means the team will need to start two backup cornerbacks with the same initials, Frank Walker and Fabian Washington. So Ben Roethlisberger will consistently have more time to throw with Suggs out, and his fastest wide receivers will be working on reserves deep. That should prompt offensive coordinator Bruce Arians to call for several shots downfield to Santonio Holmes and Nate Washington.
2. The Cardinals’ offense will get a big emotional lift from Anquan Boldin. The injury news was better for Arizona, as they are expected to have Boldin back. And there’s no decoy situation here — Boldin will do everything he normally does. Kurt Warner is hot and Larry Fitzgerald may end up having the best playoffs of any wide receiver, ever. Even against a good Eagles secondary, there should be plenty of more confidence to throw the ball often, especially at home.
3. The Steelers need to keep feeding Willie Parker. You can bet Pittsburgh’s coaches watched plenty of film of how the Titans had a successful first half attacking the Ravens’ run defense with speedy rookie Chris Johnson. Parker is healthy, revved up and running with fresh legs. The Steelers shouldn’t be fazed by Parker’s history of limited production against the Ravens or if he finds little room to run early — Baltimore’s defense is banged up, and will eventually wear down if he needs to chase a fast back often.
4. The Eagles need to be cautious with their use of Brian Westbrook. Westbrook will play through his ankle and knee injuries on Sunday, but that doesn’t mean Philadelphia should feel comfortable giving him 25 touches on Sunday. Really, it’s best to give Correll Buckhalter the work between the tackles (10-12 carries) and make the most of Westbrook’s snaps to try to get him in the open field. The Eagles should find the best times to call for outside runs or outside passes to Westbrook, whether it’s out of the backfield on screens or from a wide alignment.
5. Just one bad throw can cost any of the four quarterbacks the entire game. Ravens safety Ed Reed and Eagles cornerback Asante Samuel thrive on interception touchdowns at this time of year. The Cardinals have found a similarly great playmaker in rookie corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Anyone in the Steelers’ linebacker corps or secondary can produce a scoring play. There is no margin of error for Roethlisberger, Kurt Warner, Donovan McNabb or Joe Flacco.
6. No. 3 receivers will play a big role in every game. Washington has come up with many big plays for the Steelers on third downs. The Eagles will focus their attention on Fitzgerald and Boldin, and if they decide to blitz, Steve Breaston will quickly get open against single coverage. Meanwhile, Philadelphia will be happy to have Jason Avant back at full strength. And of course, Flacco has a good wideout-like third option in Todd Heap.
7. There will be more hard hits than points scored in the Steelers-Ravens game. Well, considering the defenses will look to smash every blocker and ballhandler, and that you have tough offensive skill players such as Hines Ward who also are willing to inflict physical punishment, you can bet to hear the requisite John Madden-like sound effect on almost every play.
8. There will be more points scored than hard hits in the Eagles-Cardinals game. Weather won’t be a factor. Both teams are comfortable with getting into a pass-happy mode and just letting the ball fly downfield with McNabb and Warner at the helms. Even the big defensive plays won’t come from hits or tackles, rather interceptions in the open field. Expect a shootout in the desert.
9. Warner will be the MVP in a Cardinals victory. Like they did seven years ago in St. Louis, Warner and McNabb will duel in an indoors NFC West venue with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. Warner is clearly a quarterback who much prefers to play at home in his career, especially in big games. He’s 6-0 when his team hosts a playoff game. At University of Phoenix Stadium this season, he has gone 7-2, completing more than 69 percent of his passes for 19 TDs and only 6 interceptions while averaging 290 yards.
10. James Harrison will be the star of a Steelers victory. The defensive player of the year had one of his best games when Pittsburgh hosted the Ravens in Week 4, with 10 tackles, 2 1/2 sacks and a forced fumble. He’ll also remember that he was pretty much shut down in the Week 15 meeting in Baltimore. With another chance in a big game under the prime-time spotlight, he will be a disruptive force on Sunday.
Vinnie Iyer is a staff writer for Sporting News. Email him at viyer@sportingnews.com.